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Irregular Circumstances, Not Policy, Have Reduced the Deficit So Far This Year


Obamapologists have been pointing to the shrinking budget deficit as proof that the economy is heading in the right direction. There is a sense of desperation afoot to find something, anything, that can be positive news upon which Obama can rebuild his reputation. For the non-economists out there, a declining deficit does indeed sound indicative of a healthy economic rebound. However, the main reasons for this current shrinking deficit have absolutely nothing to do with Obama, nor do they affect the economy in the way it is being spun.

The first major reason for the deficit reduction has to do with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These two government entities have given at least $140 billion, its “profit”, to the US Treasury so far in 2013. But this “profit“ was principally interest collected on mortgages which a) should have been earned by the private sector which the government took over by underbidding the private sector using taxpayer money, and b) by basically deciding that the private shareholders of Fannie and Freddie shouldn’t receive any part of the profit even though they had purchased – with their own money – substantial shares in the companies. These profits were required to be handed over to the US Treasury after the 2008 bailout conservatorship was amended with this change in 2012. Whether or not such action was legal is another question entirely.

The second large source of revenue was the frenzy of end-of-year tax paying in 2012. Remember the fight over the “Fiscal Cliff”? Because of the very substantial increase in individual tax rates for higher income earners, these individuals were able to accelerate 2013 income (including salary and bonuses) and dividends into 2012 to get the lower rate. Even more importantly, individuals that had gains on stock and real estate that they might not ordinarily have sold for years, all were dumped by the end of 2012 to get the lower rates. It should be noted that tax rates on dividends and capital gains for high income earners went up 59% – so much for Obama’s “the wealthy can pay just a little bit more”. The FY of the federal government runs October 1 to September 30, so those tax transactions, necessitating taxes to be paid by April 15, 2013, were recorded in the current fiscal year.

The Fannie/Freddie contribution and the end-of-the-year tax activity account for substantially all of the revenue increase and corresponding deficit reductions. They are one-shot deals, and are therefore not an indication of a rapidly growing economy.

Moreover, the most important thing to remember is that even with a lower deficit right now, Obama is still running huge annual deficits. Certainly no credit for deficit reduction should go to the Obama Administration, when total deficits still run over 4% of the GDP and are overwhelmingly higher than any of his predecessors in the history of our country (except during World War II). If true and lasting spending cuts, including entitlements, are not soon brought under control, we will be rapidly moving towards becoming Greece.

De Blasio and Triborough Amendment: The Impending Fiscal Crisis In NYC


De Blasio’s recent mayoral victory was a sad day for New Yorkers. Electing him was proof that the constituency in NYC is morally, philosophically, and educationally bankrupt. And if the mayor sticks to his positions that he declared as candidate De Blasio, NYC will be financially bankrupt as well.

A strong argument can be made that the entire election was a public service union push. For four years now, the public service unions have waiting to negotiate their contracts until Bloomberg was out of office. The time has come for the unions. De Blasio, from a position of patronage, will roll over and give the unions huge back-end and retroactive pay increases and benefits both undeserved and unaffordable. New York City could easily find itself in the same fiscal categories as Detroit and Chicago.

Why have the unions been willing to work without a contract for virtually all of the Bloomberg tenure? A little known clause of the anti-strike Taylor Law is the Triborough Amendment.This provision mandates that if a contract expires before a new contract is in place, the benefits of the expired contract continue, unchanged, until the new contract is finally negotiated. NYC is the only place in the country that has such a clause, which renders it difficult to negotiate anything from a position of austerity.

Bloomberg understood the ever-expanding costs of public service union wages and benefits, and sought to restrain them during the economic downturn. Over the past four years, the unions have steadfastly refused to engage in contract negotiations that would bring their costs in line.Why should they? They could continue to accrue the unaffordable and unreasonable benefits of the expired contract that they could have no hope of getting with Bloomberg under a new contract. Then they could help elect a new mayor who is philosophically aligned, financially naive, and seemingly irresponsible enough to give them what they could only dream of in a new contract.

De Blasio won the election by a huge majority, despite the fact that he is so far left as to be an avowed supporter of the likes of Cuba and the Sandinistas. He clearly espouses policies — such as higher taxes, more spending and regulation, attempts at government imposed income redistribution, and curtailment of police activity — which will ultimately hurt the poor and economically disadvantaged more than anyone. And if he tops it off with crony contracts with the public service unions, New Yorkers will have dug themselves a hole virtually impossible to get out of.

Are You A Genetic Lottery Winner?


Are you a genetic lottery winner? Too bad.

The legislative name for Obamacare is the Affordable Care Act. This name was chosen precisely to appeal to Americans to consider buying a health insurance plan from a government-run exchange. Who doesn’t like the idea of something that is “affordable”? By using that term, it suggested that the current system of health care was the opposite –“unafforable”. But the Affordable Care Act was merely a red herring for what the government really thought about the healthcare system — that it was discriminatory, and could be used as another vessel for wealth transfer.

Yesterday’s interview transcript between Chuck Todd and the Architect of Obamacare, Mr. Jonathan Gruber, M.I.T. should be screaming from every newspaper this morning. But there was hardly a blip on the radar screen. Real Clear Politics has the video. Mr. Gruber revealed the singular truth about the real reason our government created and passed Obamacare — it was not about an “affordable” new system; it was about a “discriminatory” old system, and the government “fix”. Here’s what Gruber described:

We currently have a highly discriminatory system where if you’re sick, if you’ve been sick or [if] you’re going to get sick, you cannot get health insurance. The only way to end that discriminatory system is to bring everyone into the system and pay one fair price.

That means that the genetic winners, the lottery winners who’ve been paying an artificially low price because of this discrimination now will have to pay more in return. And that, by my estimate, is about four million people. In return, we’ll have a fixed system where over 30 million people will now for the first time be able to access fairly price and guaranteed health insurance“.

Where to start?

The most glaring and insulting concept in his statement is the idea that someone is a “genetic winner” and “a lottery winner” that has been “paying an artificially low price because of this discrimination”.

The idea of a “genetic winner” is incredibly chilling. Brave New world-ish even. It completely removes the idea of personal responsibility in the health equation. We are somehow only and entirely healthy or not because of superior genetics, and therefore those who are should be financially punished for it due to a government-imposed standard of “fairness”.

The next absurity goes hand-in-hand with that — the idea that people who “won” the “genetic lottery” are paying artificially low prices for insurance. By what standard is something “artificially low” (or not)? The government standard! Not the insurance market. The government tells us something is artificially low and therefore needs to be corrected. It is their justification to punish the “winners”, a form of reparation of to those who the government considers “genetic lottery losers”. Pay up! It’s not fair you have been paying too low of a price!

Gruber also describes in detail how the government has decided the system is discriminatory: “where if you’re sick, if you’ve been sick or [if] you’re going to get sick, you cannot get health insurance. At every point in time — present, past, and future — the system discriminates. If you might get sick in the future, you cannot have insurance now! Such a statement defies all logic. But it doesn’t matter. The groundwork is laid bare: our health care discriminates.

What is the solution? Gruber explains that the only way to level the playing field and be fair is to force the “genetic winners” to pay their fair share (sound familiar?).And finally, finally, Gruber tells us, “In return, we’ll have a fixed system where over 30 million people will now for the first time be able to access fairly price and guaranteed health insurance”.

A fixed system now. Because the government decided the system was “broken”. It was the fault of the genetic lottery winners and the artifically low prices who discriminated against those who did not have insurance. Are you a genetic lottery winner? The government finds you contemptible.

Of course, there was no distinction of the uninsured between those who could not get insurance or who chose not to have insurance either. The Uninsured were discriminated against. And that needed to be fixed — by the government. We’re here to help.

The Affordable Care Act is only about being affordable to some. It is revealed to be another giant wealth transfer. Take the genetic lottery winners, kick them off their freely chosen policies, put them on the more expensive Obamacare government exchanges, and subsidize those who have been discriminated against to make it fair for all.

Fairness is yet again the objective of, and gift from, the government — no matter the cost to our wallets or our dignity.

WhiteHouse.gov Edits Portion on Obamacare to Include Obama’s “Regrets”, But Leaves Up Original “You Can Keep Your Plan” Promise In At Least Three Places

Last week, I reported that the whitehouse.gov website section pertaining to Obamacare still had the “if you like your plan, you can keep it” Promise. I checked out whitehouse.gov on November 6, a few days after Obama gave a speech during which he explained that the Promise actually had qualifiers.

Obama’s new Promise during that speech was: “Now, if you have or had one of these plans before the Affordable Care Act came into law and you really liked that plan, what we said was you can keep it if it hasn’t changed since the law passed”. This Animal Farm-esque change drew outcries from around the county.

Back to whitehouse.gov. On November 6, the “Health Reform” section on Obamacare included the very bold statement:

“For those Americans who already have health insurance, the only changes you will see under the law are new benefits, better protections from insurance company abuses, and more value for every dollar you spend on health care. If you like your plan you can keep it and you don’t have to change a thing due to the health care law”

And the screenshot from November 6:

Screenshot 2013-11-07 at 7.30.10 PM

Checking back a week later to see if whitehouse.gov has updated that section to include the new Promise made by Obama, an interesting thing occured ont the website. The same original Promise is still there. But the IT guys for whitehouse.gov did manage to edit that section by adding a new line after the original Promise. That line reads “The President addressed concerns from Americans who have received letters of policy cancellations or changes from their insurance companies in an interview with NBC News, watch the video or read a transcript”

Here is that screenshot of the same section, with the new line added:

Healthcare-gov week 2

Because the whitehouse.gov included a link to Obama’s interview and transcript, I clicked on it to see what Obama had to say about his Promise.

From the transcript:

“Well — first of all, I meant what I said. And we worked hard to try to make sure that we implemented it properly. But obviously, we didn’t do enough — a good enough job — and I regret that. We’re talking about 5% of the population — who are in what’s called the individual market. They’re out there buyin’ health insurance on their own.

A lot of these plans are subpar plans. And we put in a clause in the law that said if you had one of those plans, even if it was subpar — when the law was passed, you could keep it. But there’s enough churn in the market that folks since then have bought subpar plans. And now that may be all they can afford. So even though it only affects a small amount of the population, you know, it means a lot to them, obviously, when they get — this letter cancelled”…

and further…

“You know — I regret very much that — what we intended to do, which is to make sure that everybody is moving into better plans because they want ’em, as opposed to because they’re forced into it. That, you know, we weren’t as clear as we needed to be — in terms of the changes that were takin’ place. And I want to do everything we can to make sure that people are finding themselves in a good position — a better position than they were before this law happened”.

Obama regrets that “we weren’t as clear as we needed to be”, but still has the original Promise in plain text right on the whitehouse.gov website. It still says, clear as day,

    “If you like your plan you can keep it and you don’t have to change a thing due to the health care law”

The same Promise he repeated previously at least 29 times.

What’s worse, not only is the original Promise still on the page mentioned above, it is also on ANOTHER page of the Obamacare section on whitehouse.gov. Head on over to the section on “Quality Affordable Health Care for All Americans, and you can see the text:

“For Americans with insurance coverage who like what they have, they can keep it. Nothing in this act or anywhere in the bill forces anyone to change the insurance they have, period”

Here’s that screenshot as well:

Promise 2 whitehouse-gov

And at the bottom of the page when you scroll down, whitehouse.gov urges Americans to continue on to the page entitled “If You Like the Insurance You Have, Keep It“. That is the name of the actual page.

On that page, it boldly proclaims:

“If You Like the Insurance You Have, Keep It:

Nothing in the proposal forces anyone to change the insurance they have. Period.”

Like Plan Keep It Page

So whitehouse.gov continues to peddle the original Promise that Obama has to explain away. Whitehouse.gov can take the time to update their website to add the explanations, but can’t edit the Promise.

If Obama regrets not being clear as he said in the interview, why hasn’t the White House updated the Promise to the new explanation in order to be clear? How can the White House be “clear” when their own website says one thing in several places, and the President is running around explaining it in a different way? How is this transparent?

Despite the regrets Obama expressed in his latest remarks on the Promise, it is clear that the Obama does not want to be clear.

Obama Lied. Should We Be Thankful?

The best thing you can say about the Obamacare legislation and recent rollout is that the president lied. He lied about “keeping your plan” and “keeping your doctor”. He lied about the cost savings. He lied to the American people to sell it.That is the best spin that can be put on what he said.

What’s worse? We now know — based on recently-surfaced memos — that all of his advisors and speech writers also knew that keeping your plan and doctor was not true. This is more heinous than just the President lying. In this event, the American President and his coterie willfully and deliberately deceived the American public in order to push forth a complex and expensive piece of controversial legislation on which Obama was to hang his legacy.

And what if Obama didn’t know? That is the most terrible scenario of all. That our President is surrounded by people who knowingly and unabashedly lied to him about an important bill. If they can lie about health care legislation to the President and to our citizens, what else have they lied about? Benghazi? The IRS? Fast and Furious? How much has the media and Congress aided and abetted the deception? How could the office of the President be reduce to a mere shell — and by Obama the Wunderkind, no less? And more incredibly, when the President did find out that he had been lied to by his most trusted advisors and speech writers he did nothing about it! Not one head rolled.

If, in fact, Obama expressly lied to the country about Obamacare,it is outrageous and reprehensible. But it is Obama’s best scenario. Because the other scenarios, and their implications for our country and for our Executive Branch, are frighteningly worse.

White House Website Still Shows Original “You Can Keep Your Plan” Promise

Oopsies!

The White House website (whitehouse.gov) still shows the original “If you like your health plan, you can keep it” promise. See the text here on www.whitehouse.gov/healthreform/healthcare-overview:

Health Care that Works for Americans

On March 23, 2010, President Obama signed the Affordable Care Act into law, putting in place comprehensive reforms that improve access to affordable health coverage for everyone and protect consumers from abusive insurance company practices.

For those Americans who already have health insurance, the only changes you will see under the law are new benefits, better protections from insurance company abuses, and more value for every dollar you spend on health care. If you like your plan you can keep it and you don’t have to change a thing due to the health care law.

For the uninsured or those who don’t get their coverage through work, a key component of the Affordable Care Act will take effect on October 1, when the new Health Insurance Marketplace open for business, allowing millions of Americans to comparison shop for a variety of quality, affordable plans that best meet their health care needs”.

And the screenshot:

Screenshot 2013-11-07 at 7.30.10 PM

This is different than the speech he gave just a few days ago, where he gave qualifiers on the “if you like your plan, you can keep it.

PRESIDENT OBAMA: Now, if you have or had one of these plans before the Affordable Care Act came into law and you really liked that plan, what we said was you can keep it if it hasn’t changed since the law passed. So we wrote into the Affordable Care Act, you’re grandfathered in on that plan. But if the insurance company changes it, then what we’re saying is they’ve got to change it to a higher standard. They’ve got to make it better, they’ve got to improve the quality of the plan they are selling. That’s part of the promise that we made too. That’s why we went out of our way to make sure that the law allowed for grandfathering.

After the speech above, The Daily Caller reported that Obama made the original promise at least 29 times. Does this make 30?

Perhaps the same IT guys in charge of maintaining healthcare.gov are in charge of updating Whitehouse.gov.

UPDATE, NOV 7: Foxnews is showing another page of whitehouse.gov’s healthcare reform section, which also currently states this:

“For Americans with insurance coverage who like what they have, they can keep it. Nothing in this act or anywhere in the bill forces anyone to change the insurance they have, period.”

Too bad Obama doesn’t read his own website.

The Obamapology and Animal Farm

In Animal Farm, the most important of the Seven Commandments of Animalism was the “All Animals Are Equal” Commandment. Upon this, Animalism was supposed to thrive.

Later, Napoleon gains power, drives out Snowball, moves into Mr. Jones white house, sells Boxer to the glue factory, and enjoys whiskey while the animals work. Animalism is struggling to survive and suddenly, the maxim is changed. It becomes:

“All Animals are Equal, But Some are More Equal Than Others”

In a strikingly similar way during this new age of Obamacare, we were repeatedly told that “if you like your plan, you can keep it”

Now, today we get the Animal Farm version:

PRESIDENT OBAMA: Now, if you have or had one of these plans before the Affordable Care Act came into law and you really liked that plan, what we said was you can keep it if it hasn’t changed since the law passed. So we wrote into the Affordable Care Act, you’re grandfathered in on that plan. But if the insurance company changes it, then what we’re saying is they’ve got to change it to a higher standard. They’ve got to make it better, they’ve got to improve the quality of the plan they are selling. That’s part of the promise that we made too. That’s why we went out of our way to make sure that the law allowed for grandfathering.

I guess Obama expects that we won’t remember what he said. After all, he is our leader of Obamacarism. He has nothing to really apologize for. The Obamapology blames everyone else.

Surely it is the fault of the “bad apple” insurers who had such terrible plans to offer to begin with. Surely it is our fault because we couldn’t possibly have known any better or even really truly liked the plans we had picked.

Now, all insurance plans are equal. But some are more equal than others. (And those that aren’t equal will be canceled).