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Trump’s Tariff Timeout

Trump’s Tariff Timeout

Spinning Stupidity or Prolonging the Pain?

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Alan Dlugash
Apr 09, 2025

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So, the markets are soaring today because Trump’s decided to hit pause on his big tariff plan—90 days of relief for most countries and a slashed 10% reciprocal tariff, while China’s still getting hammered with a 125% rate. Wall Street’s popping champagne, but let’s not kid ourselves: the real circus is watching Trump try to spin this without looking like he’s backpedaling from his tough-guy trade war shtick. He’s already out there on Truth Social crowing about it like it’s some genius masterstroke, but anyone with a pulse can see it’s a retreat from a policy that was tanking stocks and spooking CEOs. The guy’s got to thread the needle—keep his base cheering for “winning” while dodging the fact that his tariff threats were a sledgehammer to a fragile economy. Good luck with that.

But here’s the kicker: this pause isn’t a fix—it’s a band-aid on a broken leg. Trump’s not scrapping the tariffs; he’s just kicking the can down the road for 90 days, leaving supply chains dangling in limbo. Companies like Nissan, which already paused production in Mexico, and Boeing, watching its global parts network choke, aren’t going to magically unscramble their operations overnight. The damage is done—businesses spent months stockpiling, rerouting, and praying they wouldn’t get crushed by a trade war, and now they’re stuck in a holding pattern. A 90-day breather sounds nice, but it’s not enough to rebuild trust or untangle the mess. Trump’s playing a game of chicken with the global economy, and this pause just means the crash is delayed, not avoided.

Look, I get it—markets hate uncertainty, so they’re rallying on any whiff of stability. But let’s not pretend this is some grand victory. Supply chains are still screwed, and Trump’s ego-driven tariff saga is the gift that keeps on giving—headaches, that is. He’s got to sell this as a win, but the reality is he’s locked us into a slow bleed. Businesses can’t plan, consumers are still staring down price hikes (hello, $2,000 iPhones), and the world’s not buying his “America First” bravado when it’s just chaos in a red tie. The real issue isn’t the pause; it’s that Trump’s too stubborn to ditch the whole tariff charade, and we’re all paying the price while he figures out how to save face. Let’s see where we are three months from now. If we are right back here, I’ll bet my bottom dollar the markets won’t be cheering then.

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